Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000337 0.000378 0.000422 0.000474 0.000533 0.000598 0.000675
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000325 0.000396 0.000486 0.000599 0.000737 0.000917
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000222 0.000289 0.000374 0.000491 0.000650 0.000857 0.001153
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000182 0.000249 0.000339 0.000470 0.000657 0.000918 0.001315
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000160 0.000229 0.000325 0.000472 0.000694 0.001020 0.001546
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000149 0.000220 0.000325 0.000493 0.000758 0.001168 0.001867
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000201 0.000307 0.000482 0.000771 0.001239 0.002073
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000180 0.000283 0.000458 0.000759 0.001265 0.002207
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000171 0.000277 0.000464 0.000795 0.001375 0.002504
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000169 0.000281 0.000486 0.000863 0.001549 0.002945
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000158 0.000270 0.000480 0.000879 0.001630 0.003219
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000152 0.000265 0.000484 0.000914 0.001751 0.003589
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000142 0.000254 0.000477 0.000926 0.001833 0.003902
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000136 0.000250 0.000482 0.000968 0.001981 0.004391
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000131 0.000245 0.000486 0.001005 0.002127 0.004904
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000119 0.000229 0.000465 0.000986 0.002145 0.005116
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000115 0.000224 0.000467 0.001019 0.002287 0.005661
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000114 0.000228 0.000487 0.001096 0.002542 0.006546
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000107 0.000219 0.000477 0.001099 0.002620 0.006975
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000098 0.000204 0.000453 0.001067 0.002607 0.007149
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000095 0.000202 0.000459 0.001107 0.002784 0.007907
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000096 0.000206 0.000481 0.001193 0.003096 0.009137
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000091 0.000200 0.000475 0.001206 0.003210 0.009779